I sat down this morning, and before my first cup of Java even got cold, I happened upon an article which essentially says that market segmentation is too inefficient to be an effective tool. The author goes on to explain how other methodologies can be employed to pinpoint “buckets” (instead of segments (?)) of customers by targeting individuals and their behavior.
My reaction? “Uh, yeah…”
As if this were some great revelation.
I’m not trying to disparage the author. He makes valid points. And frankly, this isn’t the first negative article I’ve seen about segmentation. However — think about this. What’s the number one marketing issue facing most businesses today? If you want to grow, you need to add new customers. First, you determine who your best customers and then and you have to find more just like them and sell to them in order to increase profits. That’s called prospecting.
I have discovered an incredible amount of well-educated, well-intentioned marketers dismissing broad based neighborhood segmentation systems. And you know what? For companies that maintain lots of transactional data on their databases and can afford to append household level demographics — they are 100% correct. If you are looking to optimize your current customer database — then it is most efficient, most effective, to use modeling techniques to score individual customers with propensities to purchase different products/services the company provides.
But even the most data-rich companies still have to prospect like the rest of us. And you know what? Modeling is based on having similar data on both the customer file and the list of prospects that you wish to score. Simply put, you can maintain gadzooks of data on your own database but no other source is going to be able to put that exact same data onto any other database because it doesn’t exist.
Take this example. John Smith, your customer, spent $500 last year. He called the support line 10 times, he pays with an American Express card and you know all the products he bought. Now you are going out to buy a list of prospects. Meet Mary Jones — she’s on the list you purchased from expiring, InfoUSA, Acxiom — what do you know about her? You’ll get her name, address, demographics (some individual, some neighborhood (block group or zip+4) based, and usually some summarized credit information. You don’t know how many times she’s called the support line or what credit cards she pays with — because she’s a prospect — not a customer! You have no customer data.
Repeat this with me. The only way to tie customers to prospects through modeling is to find characteristics that are on both files and use those characteristics to predict potential behavior.
So, when I read broad stroke articles like the one below, I shake my head. After 15+ years in this business (working for the leaders in the industry) I can tell you that the majority of small to medium sized businesses — and truthfully, some of the bigger ones too, HAVE VERY LITTLE TO NO TRANSACTIONAL DATA worth modeling. And, budgets are limited, time lines are short (”Help! We need to mail in 3 weeks!”) so we can’t append all kinds of household level demographic and behavioral data for prospecting purposes. What’s that saying? You can have it fast, you can have it perfect, and you can have it cheap, but not all three at the same time.
So, what’s the solution? Neighborhood segmentation — with a twist.
No matter what flavor you use — Community Tapestry, MOSAIC, Personix, PRIZM — you still need to tweak a bit to get the maximum lift if you plan to do direct marketing (mailing) by clusters. I think one of the best ways is to isolate the top clusters that have the greatest propensity, then take that small group, have household-level universally available data appended, and then further refine your target.
Imagine if you will, this scenario. You sell (relatively) pricey clothing and furniture for young children. If you just target neighborhoods with children you’ll likely get a small response. If you target to people with a certain income (and children), you’ll get a slightly better lift. However, if you use the segments that have lifestyles which are typically status-conscious (upscale suburbia and urban elite) along with presence of children and income — you’ll get the most bang for your buck without the expense and time needed to do advanced custom analysis.
If you simply accept those articles that dismiss practices that have been used successfully for years — without addressing the positive reasons why these tools can still be used — then you’re not getting the complete picture.
I maintain that prospecting is a completely different ball game — and segmentation tools can help businesses of all sizes further narrow their prospect lists.
from: Segmentation: thin edge of the marketing wedge.
source: B&T Weekly, October 14, 2005.
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